It’s pretty rude to address a person that took the time to analyze 12,000 MMA fights as ‘some guy.’ His name is Vik Singh, and his official title is ‘some guy that is a glutton for data mining.’ In short, he took a database of 11,886 fight records and fed them into a supercomputer to identify any trends with winning and losing an MMA bout. He extracted a gargantuan amount of information, and it seems like he will use this data to make an absurd amount of money in online betting. You can check out his scientific blog right here to see what he intends to do with this data, but check out the extraordinary facts he discovered in his arm-chair mathematical experiment. [Source]
Top UFC Insights
Fighters older than 32 years of age will more likely lose
This was validated in 173 out of 277 (62%) fights*
Fighters who have won 3x or more decisions than their opponent will more likely win
This was validated in 142 out of 235 (60%) fights*
Fighters younger than their opponents by 3 or more years in age will more likely win
This was validated in 165 out of 278 (59%) fights*
Fighters who haven’t fought in more than 210 days will more likely lose
This was validated in 162 out of 276 (59%) fights*
Fighters taller than their opponents by 3% will more likely win
This was validated in 159 out of 274 (58%) fights*
Fighters who have lost less by submission than their opponents will more likely win
This was validated in 75 out of 119 (63%) fights*
Fighters who have lost 6 or more fights will more likely lose
This was validated in 172 out of 291 (60%) fights*
Fighters who have lost 2 or more KOs will more likely lose
This was validated in 54 out of 84 (64%) fights*
Fighters from Japan are more likely to lose
This was validated in 36 out of 51 (71%) fights*
Fighters with a wrestling background vs fighters who don’t have one more likely win
This was validated in 72 out of 122 (60%) fights
Top Insights over All Fights
Fighters currently on a 3 fight (or better) winning streak will more likely win
This was validated in 1172 out of 1884 (62%) fights*
Fighters with 3x or more wins than their opponents will more likely win
This was validated in 1395 out of 2387 (58%) fights*
Fighters who have lost 7 or more times will more likely lose
This was validated in 1305 out of 2299 (57%) fights*
Fighters with no jiu jitsu in their background versus fighters who do have it more likely lose
This was validated in 334 out of 568 (59%) fights*
Fighters who have lost by submission 5 or more times will more likely lose
This was validated in 580 out of 986 (59%) fights*
Fighters in the Middleweight division who fought their last fight more recently will more likely win
This was validated in 272 out of 446 (61%) fights*
Fighters in the Lightweight division fighting 6 foot tall fighters (or higher) will more likely win
This was validated in 50 out of 83 (60%) fights
